14/04/2025
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
4-0
Bulleen Lions vs Moreland City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
24%
Draw
15%
11%
Away Win
11%
42%
Under 2.5
35%
58%
Over 2.5
65%
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
50%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bulleen Lions v Moreland City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bulleen Lions
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Moreland City
EU Bookmakers 14%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
2.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.69/5.01
-34%
/
+6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+66%
/
-48%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
19
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
438 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bulleen Lions vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bulleen Lions edged past Moreland City 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bulleen Lions as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Bulleen Lions vs Moreland City?
Bulleen Lions 2-1 Moreland City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bulleen Lions vs Moreland City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bulleen Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bulleen Lions 66%, draw 24%, Moreland City 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulleen Lions), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Bulleen Lions)
✓ Over 2.5
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NPL2
More Australia - Victoria NPL 2
14 Apr 2025