Bulleen Lions 2-1 Moreland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.0pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bulleen Lions EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland City EU Bookmakers 14%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/5.01
-34% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bulleen Lions vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulleen Lions edged past Moreland City 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bulleen Lions as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Bulleen Lions vs Moreland City?

Bulleen Lions 2-1 Moreland City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bulleen Lions vs Moreland City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bulleen Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bulleen Lions 66%, draw 24%, Moreland City 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulleen Lions), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bulleen Lions) ✓ Over 2.5
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