Kingston City 1-3 Northcote City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.33
No
36%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.5pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.2pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
71%
-7.0pp
36%
BTTS No
29%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingston City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Northcote City EU Bookmakers 46%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.63/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.00
-70% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +74%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kingston City vs Northcote City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northcote City saw off Kingston City 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 18% / 43% — and on the day Northcote City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Kingston City vs Northcote City?

Kingston City 1-3 Northcote City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingston City vs Northcote City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kingston City 40%, draw 18%, Northcote City 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northcote City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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