Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lechia Gdansk v Stal Mielec — Team-Based Signals
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lechia Gdansk 3-2 Stal Mielec — Actual Match Statistics
Lechia Gdansk edged past Stal Mielec 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lechia Gdansk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 63% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 37%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 2.23 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 1.50 for Stal Mielec.
What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec?
Lechia Gdansk 3-2 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 42%, draw 28%, Stal Mielec 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.