Carabobo 1-0 Academia Anzoátegui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
54%
-15.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Anzoátegui EU Bookmakers 21%
+18% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.06/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.99
+0% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.9 Crosses 11.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Academia Anzoátegui
0.79 xG 0.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
343 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Academia Anzoátegui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo nicked a narrow win over Academia Anzoátegui 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Carabobo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Carabobo had 53% of the ball to Academia Anzoátegui's 47%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.79 to 0.46.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Academia Anzoátegui?

Carabobo 1-0 Academia Anzoátegui in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Academia Anzoátegui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 39%, draw 33%, Academia Anzoátegui 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5
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