Zamora 3-0 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
0.86/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.07
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
15.6 Crosses 16.7
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.98 xG 1.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
218 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
03.11.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
28.08.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
10.03.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-2 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.08.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
03.04.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
3-0
AWAY Caracas FC
1.84 xG 0.36
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
166 Passes 418
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora ran out comfortable winners over Caracas FC 3-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Zamora found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Zamora had 33% of the ball to Caracas FC's 67%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.84 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zamora and 2.33 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Caracas FC?

Zamora 3-0 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zamora 35%, draw 27%, Caracas FC 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Caracas FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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