Caracas FC 3-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
2.00/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.46
+12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
18.7 Crosses 12.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zamora
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.05 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
28.08.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
10.03.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-2 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.08.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
03.04.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
11.09.2022 Zamora Zamora 3-3 HT 1-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
3-1
AWAY Zamora
1.44 xG 1.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
415 Passes 262
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC saw off Zamora 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caracas FC had 58% of the ball to Zamora's 42%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 1.44 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Caracas FC and 1.50 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Zamora?

Caracas FC 3-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 51%, draw 25%, Zamora 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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