Zamora 2-1 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

Zamora
2-1 HT 0-1
Caracas FC
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Zamora vs Caracas FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zamora v Caracas FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.10
+21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.6 Crosses 15.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Zamora vs Caracas FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.86 xG 2.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
221 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.08.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
10.03.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-2 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.08.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
03.04.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
11.09.2022 Zamora Zamora 3-3 HT 1-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.03.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN

Zamora 2-1 Caracas FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
2-1
AWAY Caracas FC
1.01 xG 0.98
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
162 Passes 399
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora nicked a narrow win over Caracas FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Zamora found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora had 33% of the ball to Caracas FC's 67%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.01 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zamora and 2.33 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Caracas FC?

Zamora 2-1 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zamora 38%, draw 28%, Caracas FC 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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