Caracas FC 2-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.97/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.40
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.8 Crosses 12.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Zamora
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.33 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 219
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-2 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.08.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
03.04.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
11.09.2022 Zamora Zamora 3-3 HT 1-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.03.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
21.11.2020 Zamora Zamora 1-3 HT 0-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
2-1
AWAY Zamora
2.30 xG 0.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
407 Passes 227
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC nicked a narrow win over Zamora 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caracas FC had 61% of the ball to Zamora's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.30 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Caracas FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Caracas FC and 1.33 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Zamora?

Caracas FC 2-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 46%, draw 25%, Zamora 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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