Monagas vs Portuguesa FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v Portuguesa FC — Team-Based Signals
Monagas vs Portuguesa FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Monagas
VEN
1-2
HT 1-0
Portuguesa FC
VEN
1-2
HT 1-0
Monagas
VEN
2-4
HT 2-0
Portuguesa FC
VEN
3-2
HT 0-1
Monagas
VEN
Monagas 4-1 Portuguesa FC — Actual Match Statistics
Monagas cruised past Portuguesa FC 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monagas had 50% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 50%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.70 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Monagas and 2.00 for Portuguesa FC.
What was the final score of Monagas vs Portuguesa FC?
Monagas 4-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs Portuguesa FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monagas 45%, draw 26%, Portuguesa FC 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.