Portuguesa FC vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portuguesa FC v Monagas — Team-Based Signals
Portuguesa FC vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Monagas
VEN
1-2
HT 1-0
Portuguesa FC
VEN
1-2
HT 1-0
Monagas
VEN
2-4
HT 2-0
Portuguesa FC
VEN
3-2
HT 0-1
Monagas
VEN
1-0
HT 1-0
Portuguesa FC
VEN
Portuguesa FC 1-2 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics
Monagas nicked a narrow win over Portuguesa FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Portuguesa FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Portuguesa FC had 57% of the ball to Monagas's 43%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.75 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.67 for Monagas.
What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Monagas?
Portuguesa FC 1-2 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Monagas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 47%, draw 30%, Monagas 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.