Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
0-2 HT 0-1
Hermanos Colmenarez
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Hermanos Colmenarez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Hermanos Colmenarez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.75/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.55
+43% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.8 Crosses 13.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Estudiantes De Merida vs Hermanos Colmenarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
409 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.08.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
31.03.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
22.10.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-5 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
29.07.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
25.04.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 HT 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
20.09.2021 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Hermanos Colmenarez — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-2
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.41 xG 0.49
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 3
494 Passes 179
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez beat Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 29%) promised a tight game; Hermanos Colmenarez found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 70% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 30%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.41 to 0.49 — on chances, Estudiantes De Merida could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.33 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 40%, draw 30%, Hermanos Colmenarez 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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