Deportivo Tachira 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.3pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 31%
+19% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
0.96/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.06
+4% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
13.8 Crosses 19.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.21 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-1 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
30.10.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
16.07.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
29.04.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
17.10.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-2 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
10.10.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
0-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.51 xG 1.18
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
409 Passes 194
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello squeezed past Deportivo Tachira 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 36% / 25% — and on the day Academia Puerto Cabello made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 64% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 36%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.51 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.50 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Deportivo Tachira 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 39%, draw 36%, Academia Puerto Cabello 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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