Zamora 2-2 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
0.93/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.34
-20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.9 Crosses 16.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.88 xG 3.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 281
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.08.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
03.04.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
11.09.2022 Zamora Zamora 3-3 HT 1-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.03.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
21.11.2020 Zamora Zamora 1-3 HT 0-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
26.10.2020 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
2-2
AWAY Caracas FC
1.27 xG 0.92
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
171 Passes 297
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora and Caracas FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora had 40% of the ball to Caracas FC's 60%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.27 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zamora and 2.33 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Caracas FC?

Zamora 2-2 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Zamora 34%, draw 31%, Caracas FC 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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