Rayo Zuliano 2-3 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
2.16/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.79
+17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.4 Crosses 8.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 0.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
228 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 3
19 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
19.02.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
2-3
AWAY Angostura FC
2.26 xG 0.65
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 196
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angostura FC squeezed past Rayo Zuliano 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; Angostura FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 58% of the ball to Angostura FC's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.26 to 0.65 — on chances, Rayo Zuliano could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.00 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Angostura FC?

Rayo Zuliano 2-3 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 29%, draw 33%, Angostura FC 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angostura FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angostura FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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