Carabobo 0-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

Carabobo
0-1 HT 0-0
UCV
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.6pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.25/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.81
-4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.9 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-2D-0L
AWAY UCV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.36 xG 0.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
378 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
9 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.07.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-1 UCV UCV VEN
06.05.2023 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
19.09.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 4-0 HT 3-0 UCV UCV VEN
26.02.2022 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
0-1
AWAY UCV
0.97 xG 1.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
362 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV nicked a narrow win over Carabobo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Carabobo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carabobo had 60% of the ball to UCV's 40%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.97 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carabobo and 0.25 for UCV.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs UCV?

Carabobo 0-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 47%, draw 29%, UCV 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Carabobo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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