Real Madrid II 1-1 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Apr 2026

Real Madrid II
1-1 HT 0-1
Ourense CF
📅14/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Real Madrid II vs Ourense CF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid II v Ourense CF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.38
+32% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Real Madrid II vs Ourense CF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ourense CF
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
19.10.2025 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-3 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3

Real Madrid II 1-1 Ourense CF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
1-1
AWAY Ourense CF
73% Ball Possession 27%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II and Ourense CF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid II at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 73% of the ball to Ourense CF's 27%, shots finished 16-3.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Ourense CF?

Real Madrid II 1-1 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 54%, draw 27%, Ourense CF 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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