İngiltere (K) 1-0 İspanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
1.83/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/3.89
+51% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -78%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY İspanya (K)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.84
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
303 Passes 524
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2025 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) ABK
03.06.2025 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) AVKUL
26.02.2025 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) AVKUL
20.08.2023 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) KDK
20.07.2022 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) ABK
09.04.2019 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere (K)
1-0
AWAY İspanya (K)
1.04 xG 1.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
254 Passes 494
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 42
8 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere (K) nicked a narrow win over İspanya (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was İspanya (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, İngiltere (K) had 36% of the ball to İspanya (K)'s 64%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.04 to 1.74 — on chances, İspanya (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İngiltere (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İngiltere (K) and 1.00 for İspanya (K).

What was the final score of İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)?

İngiltere (K) 1-0 İspanya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İngiltere (K) 35%, draw 24%, İspanya (K) 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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