İngiltere (K) 1-0 İspanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.5
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere (K)
3W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.21 xG 1.66
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
244 Passes 515
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) KDK
20.07.2022 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) ABK
09.04.2019 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) HAZ
23.07.2017 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere (K)
1-0
AWAY İspanya (K)
1.16 xG 1.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
311 Passes 472
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 45
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere (K) edged past İspanya (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was İspanya (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, İngiltere (K) had 41% of the ball to İspanya (K)'s 59%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.16 to 1.88 — on chances, İspanya (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İngiltere (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İngiltere (K) and 0.75 for İspanya (K).

What was the final score of İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)?

İngiltere (K) 1-0 İspanya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İngiltere (K) 31%, draw 24%, İspanya (K) 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKUL More Austria - Karnten Unterliga
26 Feb 2025
22:15 Belçika (K) vs Portekiz (K) Analysis →