Belçika (K) 0-1 Portekiz (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belçika (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Portekiz (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
206 Passes 300
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2022 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Belçika (K) Belçika (K) KDK
17.09.2014 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Belçika (K) Belçika (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika (K)
0-1
AWAY Portekiz (K)
1.29 xG 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
199 Passes 295
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Belçika (K) vs Portekiz (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz (K) squeezed past Belçika (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Belçika (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Belçika (K) had 43% of the ball to Portekiz (K)'s 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.29 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Belçika (K) and 1.00 for Portekiz (K).

What was the final score of Belçika (K) vs Portekiz (K)?

Belçika (K) 0-1 Portekiz (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika (K) vs Portekiz (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Belçika (K) 43%, draw 26%, Portekiz (K) 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Belçika (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belçika (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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