İsveç (K) 1-2 Danimarka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.62/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.29
+37% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Danimarka (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.75 xG 0.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
316 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.07.2025 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) ABK
03.06.2025 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 6-1 HT 4-1 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) AVKUL
21.02.2025 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) AVKUL
04.09.2018 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) KDK
27.10.2015 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) ABK
08.04.2015 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 3-3 HT 1-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç (K)
1-2
AWAY Danimarka (K)
2.35 xG 1.02
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
417 Passes 178
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 20
36 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH İsveç (K) vs Danimarka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka (K) squeezed past İsveç (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İsveç (K) at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İsveç (K) had 67% of the ball to Danimarka (K)'s 33%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.35 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured İsveç (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İsveç (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for İsveç (K) and 0.83 for Danimarka (K).

What was the final score of İsveç (K) vs Danimarka (K)?

İsveç (K) 1-2 Danimarka (K) in the Women's World Cup on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç (K) vs Danimarka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split İsveç (K) 58%, draw 21%, Danimarka (K) 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İsveç (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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