Hollanda (K) 2-1 Fransa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda (K)
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Fransa (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.94 xG 3.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
302 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.07.2025 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 2-5 HT 2-1 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) ABK
23.07.2022 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) ABK
07.04.2017 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) HAZ
23.10.2015 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) HAZ
03.09.2009 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda (K)
2-1
AWAY Fransa (K)
0.62 xG 1.65
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 11
149 Passes 434
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 41
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda (K) squeezed past Fransa (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fransa (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hollanda (K) had 30% of the ball to Fransa (K)'s 70%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.62 to 1.65 — on chances, Fransa (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fransa (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hollanda (K) and 1.80 for Fransa (K).

What was the final score of Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K)?

Hollanda (K) 2-1 Fransa (K) in the Women's World Cup on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hollanda (K) 24%, draw 26%, Fransa (K) 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fransa (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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