Kongsvinger II 3-1 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
24%
Over 2.5
76%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
78%
1.28
No
22%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
16%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.1pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.4pp
78%
BTTS Yes
74%
+4.3pp
22%
BTTS No
26%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.03/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/2.97
-22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
415 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lilleström II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.10.2025 Lilleström II Lilleström II 3-0 HT 2-0 Kongsvinger II Kongsvinger II NOR4
14.04.2025 Kongsvinger II Kongsvinger II 4-1 HT 3-1 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger II vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger II beat Lilleström II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kongsvinger II as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (76%), both teams to score (78%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kongsvinger II and 2.00 for Lilleström II.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger II vs Lilleström II?

Kongsvinger II 3-1 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger II vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger II 58%, draw 17%, Lilleström II 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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