Tottenham 0-2 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
8.47
2-3 Goals
38%
2.37
4-5 Goals
28%
2.37
6+ Goals
11%
4.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.66
1/2
6%
17.15
1/X
9%
17.15
X/1
9%
14.1
X/2
15%
4.05
X/X
10%
8.92
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.66
2/X
5%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 70%
+16% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.19/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.04
+19% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 85%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.9
10.2 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Manchester City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 2.07
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
306 Passes 531
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City FAK
03.12.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 3-3 HT 2-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
05.02.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
19.01.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 4-2 HT 0-2 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
19.02.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 2-3 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
15.08.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
0-2
AWAY Manchester City
1.66 xG 2.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
541 Passes 476
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City got the better of Tottenham 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tottenham had 53% of the ball to Manchester City's 47%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.66 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tottenham and 1.67 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Manchester City?

Tottenham 0-2 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 20%, draw 24%, Manchester City 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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