Fjölnir 0-2 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.3pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
02.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
26.05.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 6-0 HT 3-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
15.07.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-4 HT 1-3 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
13.05.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
11.03.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-2 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri saw off Fjölnir 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Thor Akureyri made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Fjölnir and 0.83 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri?

Fjölnir 0-2 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 38%, draw 29%, Thor Akureyri 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✗ BTTS Yes
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