Union Santa Fe 1-0 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 May 2024

Union Santa Fe
1-0 HT 0-0
Banfield
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Banfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.66
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.83
X/2
16%
6.26
X/X
14%
3.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
5.27
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Banfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.14/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.24
-21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
26.0 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Union Santa Fe vs Banfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Banfield
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
244 Passes 289
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.01.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
13.07.2022 Banfield Banfield 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJK
10.07.2022 Banfield Banfield 2-3 HT 1-2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
13.03.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-1 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
28.07.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
03.11.2019 Banfield Banfield 3-3 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Banfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-0
AWAY Banfield
1.30 xG 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
352 Passes 205
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Banfield 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 60% of the ball to Banfield's 40%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.50 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Banfield?

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 41%, draw 29%, Banfield 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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