Royal AM 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 14 May 2024

Royal AM
0-2 HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

Royal AM vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.7pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal AM v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal AM EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 70%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
0.78/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.78
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +121%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
202 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 84%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
17.1 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Royal AM vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal AM
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.06 xG 1.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
14.03.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 5-1 HT 3-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
29.10.2022 Royal AM Royal AM 0-3 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
23.05.2022 Royal AM Royal AM 2-3 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
30.04.2022 Royal AM Royal AM 1-2 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
08.12.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2 HT 1-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL

Royal AM 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal AM
0-2
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.15 xG 2.76
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 25
0 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 2
140 Passes 504
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
5 Box Touches 36
7 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal AM vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns saw off Royal AM 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Royal AM had 27% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 73%, shots finished 4-25, expected goals 0.15 to 2.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Royal AM and 2.83 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Royal AM vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Royal AM 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal AM vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Royal AM 14%, draw 32%, Mamelodi Sundowns 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →