Saburtalo 1-4 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.56/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.70
+25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +102%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dila Gori
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
28.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
24.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GURCK
20.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
09.05.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
12.03.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-4
AWAY Dila Gori
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori ran out comfortable winners over Saburtalo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Dila Gori made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saburtalo had 56% of the ball to Dila Gori's 44%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Saburtalo and 1.50 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Saburtalo 1-4 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 37%, draw 29%, Dila Gori 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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