Qatar SC 4-4 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
58%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
58%
Away Win
62%
-4.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Rayyan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 2.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
28.12.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 1-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KATYK
25.08.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-0 HT 1-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
23.04.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 0-1 HT 0-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
14.09.2022 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
01.03.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-1 HT 1-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qatar SC
4-4
AWAY Al Rayyan
2.59 xG 2.57
33% Ball Possession 67%
27 Total Shots 21
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
275 Passes 650
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
33 Box Touches 42
15 Crosses 39
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qatar SC and Al Rayyan couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Al Rayyan carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Qatar SC had 33% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 67%, shots finished 27-21, expected goals 2.59 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Qatar SC and 1.17 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Al Rayyan?

Qatar SC 4-4 Al Rayyan in the KATEK on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 18%, draw 24%, Al Rayyan 58%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Rayyan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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