Liepaja 1-1 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 14 May 2024

Liepaja
1-1 HT 0-1
Riga FC
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Liepaja vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.7pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
62%
Away Win
79%
-17.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liepaja v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 84%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
0.55/2.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/0.67
-67% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +52%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 50.7
16.5 Crosses 35.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Liepaja vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Riga FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.53 xG 2.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
222 Passes 495
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
25.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
20.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
04.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-4 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
01.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET

Liepaja 1-1 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
1-1
AWAY Riga FC
1.31 xG 2.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
274 Passes 426
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja and Riga FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Riga FC carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liepaja had 41% of the ball to Riga FC's 59%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 1.31 to 2.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Liepaja and 3.17 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Riga FC?

Liepaja 1-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 18%, draw 20%, Riga FC 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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