Mekelakeya 1-1 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.3pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.13/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.71
-15% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
10.01.2025 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 1-2 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
1-1
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya and Shire Endaselassie couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 57% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 43%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Shire Endaselassie?

Mekelakeya 1-1 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 49%, draw 26%, Shire Endaselassie 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mekelakeya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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