Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 May 2025

Matsumoto Yamaga
2-2 HT 0-1
Parceiro Nagano
📅14/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Matsumoto Yamaga v Parceiro Nagano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.55/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.59
+2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.3 Crosses 14.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
302 Passes 166
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
29.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
15.10.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
13.05.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
30.10.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
15.05.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3

Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Parceiro Nagano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2-2
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
314 Passes 217
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga and Parceiro Nagano couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 58% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 42%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.83 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?

Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 46%, draw 25%, Parceiro Nagano 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ BTTS Yes
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