Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.85
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.78
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.87
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga The Market 54%
Signal
AWAY Parceiro Nagano The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.64
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
302 Passes 166
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
29.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
15.10.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
13.05.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
30.10.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
15.05.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2 - 2
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
314 Passes 217
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Matsumoto Yamaga and Parceiro Nagano finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, possession split 58% to 42% in Matsumoto Yamaga's favour, shots finished 20-9.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Matsumoto Yamaga against 0.83 for Parceiro Nagano.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano Result & Final Score

Matsumoto Yamaga 2 - 2 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 51%, draw 27%, Parceiro Nagano 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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