Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sporting Cristal v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Sporting Cristal 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over Sporting Cristal 1-0 on the road.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Cerro Porteno made the difference.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. At 1.72 (~58%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 68% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 32%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.10 to 1.08.
Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Result & Final Score
Sporting Cristal 0-1 Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 35%, draw 27%, Cerro Porteno 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.