Universidad Chile 4-0 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 14 May 2025

Universidad Chile
4-0 HT 1-0
Carabobo
📅14/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Universidad Chile vs Carabobo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
61%
2.0
Over
39%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.24
No Pick
63%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
3.51
2-3
42%
1.79
4-5
18%
3.18
6+
8%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.51 — our 32% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.54
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
22.0
X/1
23%
3.67
X/2
5%
19.4
X/X
13%
6.78
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
5%
18.3
2/X
5%
26.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Universidad Chile v Carabobo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo The Market 14%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
2.06 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.25
0.21 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.77
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.3
28.0 Crosses 12.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Universidad Chile vs Carabobo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Carabobo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.95
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
417 Passes 215
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
23.04.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile LKU

Universidad Chile 4-0 Carabobo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
4-0
AWAY Carabobo
2.83 xG 0.20
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
426 Passes 124
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Universidad Chile vs Carabobo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Universidad Chile dismantled Carabobo 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 73% to 27% in Universidad Chile's favour, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.83 to 0.20.

Universidad Chile vs Carabobo Result & Final Score

Universidad Chile 4-0 Carabobo in the Copa Libertadores on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Universidad Chile vs Carabobo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 60%, draw 25%, Carabobo 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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