Carabobo 1-1 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.48
Over
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.07
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
16%
5.63
6+
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.95
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
8%
7.72
X/2
14%
4.31
X/X
17%
3.59
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.87
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.9pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.81/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.91/1.71
-14% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / -53%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
223 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.8 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-1
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.95 xG 1.37
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
215 Passes 417
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo and Universidad Chile shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Carabobo had 37% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 63%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.95 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Universidad Chile?

Carabobo 1-1 Universidad Chile in the Copa Libertadores on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 28%, draw 30%, Universidad Chile 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universidad Chile), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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