Colo Colo 1-1 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.61
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
20%
4.12
6+
9%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.38
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
13%
5.98
X/2
10%
5.32
X/X
15%
4.14
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.66
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 42%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.36/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.09
-71% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.7 Crosses 10.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colo Colo
1-1
AWAY Racing Club
0.47 xG 0.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
198 Passes 272
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colo Colo vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colo Colo and Racing Club couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Colo Colo had 45% of the ball to Racing Club's 55%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.47 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Colo Colo vs Racing Club?

Colo Colo 1-1 Racing Club in the Copa Libertadores on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colo Colo vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Colo Colo 37%, draw 29%, Racing Club 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colo Colo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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