LDU Quito 0-0 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.56
Over
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.32
2-3
47%
1.74
4-5
17%
4.74
6+
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.06
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
16%
6.35
X/2
12%
4.92
X/X
17%
3.85
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
12%
3.41
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.28/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.93
+84% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
28.0 Crosses 15.8
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Flamengo
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.39 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 406
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 2-2 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito LKU
05.05.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-3 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo LKU
25.04.2019 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo LKU
14.03.2019 Flamengo Flamengo 3-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
0-0
AWAY Flamengo
1.02 xG 0.64
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
336 Passes 473
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito and Flamengo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, LDU Quito had 43% of the ball to Flamengo's 57%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.02 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for LDU Quito and 2.25 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Flamengo?

LDU Quito 0-0 Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 36%, draw 31%, Flamengo 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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