Alianza Lima 3-2 Talleres Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.45
Over
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.06
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
16%
5.65
6+
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.84
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
8%
6.0
X/2
15%
5.17
X/X
18%
3.43
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.85
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.11/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.85
-26% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
15.2 Crosses 14.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
3-2
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
1.55 xG 1.10
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
194 Passes 321
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Talleres Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima edged past Talleres Cordoba 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alianza Lima found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 42% of the ball to Talleres Cordoba's 58%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.55 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Talleres Cordoba?

Alianza Lima 3-2 Talleres Cordoba in the Copa Libertadores on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Talleres Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 35%, draw 30%, Talleres Cordoba 35%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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