Sporting Cristal 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Copa Libertadores, 14 May 2025

Sporting Cristal
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Cerro Porteno
📅14/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.56
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.83
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.03
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.57
6+
5%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.0
1/2
2%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
13%
5.88
X/2
14%
5.62
X/X
18%
4.52
2/1
2%
30.0
2/2
21%
3.74
2/X
5%
13.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Sporting Cristal v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sporting Cristal The Market 39%
Signal
AWAY Cerro Porteno The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
252 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 71%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 3.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
381 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 47
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.04.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-2 HT 2-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal LKU

Sporting Cristal 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
0 - 1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.10 xG 1.08
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
412 Passes 149
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
22 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over Sporting Cristal 1-0 on the road.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Cerro Porteno made the difference.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 68% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 32%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.10 to 1.08.

Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Result & Final Score

Sporting Cristal 0 - 1 Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 34%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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