ES Metlaoui 3-1 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
62%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 18%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +20%
2.07/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.30
+41% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
2W-4D-0L
AWAY US Tataouine
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.01.2025 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-3 HT 0-2 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
04.05.2024 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
10.02.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN
29.10.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
20.08.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1B
12.02.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 1-1 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TNUSK
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui saw off US Tataouine 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ES Metlaoui as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Metlaoui had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Metlaoui and 0.17 for US Tataouine.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs US Tataouine?

ES Metlaoui 3-1 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 64%, draw 22%, US Tataouine 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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