Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
15%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.4pp
36%
Draw
28%
+8.4pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.5pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.24/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.50
+28% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.5 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naples
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.24 xG 1.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
135 Passes 338
58% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Naples 1-1 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
3-1
AWAY Naples
1.74 xG 0.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
125 Passes 115
49% Pass Accuracy 46%
28 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves beat Naples 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (25% / 36% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chattanooga Red Wolves found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 50% of the ball to Naples's 50%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.74 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 25%, draw 36%, Naples 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naples), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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