Diriyah 3-2 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.44
No
45%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
82%
-11.2pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.9pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
37%
+18.1pp
45%
BTTS No
63%
-18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriyah EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
3.36/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.52
+48% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
450 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriyah
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.01.2026 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 0-1 HT 0-1 Diriyah Diriyah SUUD1
POST-MATCH Diriyah vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriyah nicked a narrow win over Al Bukayriyah 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Diriyah as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Diriyah vs Al Bukayriyah?

Diriyah 3-2 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriyah vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Diriyah 71%, draw 18%, Al Bukayriyah 10%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriyah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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