Tanzania Prisons 1-0 Fountain Gate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
47%
-13.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tanzania Prisons EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fountain Gate EU Bookmakers 28%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.61/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.41
-44% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tanzania Prisons
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Fountain Gate
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
26.11.2025 Fountain Gate Fountain Gate 1-0 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
30.06.2025 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons 3-1 Fountain Gate Fountain Gate TAN
26.06.2025 Fountain Gate Fountain Gate 1-1 HT 1-0 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons TAN
26.02.2025 Fountain Gate Fountain Gate 1-0 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
01.10.2024 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons 3-2 Fountain Gate Fountain Gate Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Tanzania Prisons vs Fountain Gate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tanzania Prisons nicked a narrow win over Fountain Gate 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tanzania Prisons found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Tanzania Prisons and 1.20 for Fountain Gate.

What was the final score of Tanzania Prisons vs Fountain Gate?

Tanzania Prisons 1-0 Fountain Gate in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tanzania Prisons vs Fountain Gate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tanzania Prisons win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tanzania Prisons 33%, draw 33%, Fountain Gate 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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