IFK Eskilstuna 3-2 Smedby AIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.43
No
29%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
45%
-16.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+9.0pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-2.2pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+2.2pp
71%
BTTS Yes
66%
+5.4pp
29%
BTTS No
34%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Smedby AIS EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.25/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/2.63
+17% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Eskilstuna
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Smedby AIS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.08.2023 IFK Eskilstuna IFK Eskilstuna 1-2 HT 1-0 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS İSÇ4
08.10.2022 IFK Eskilstuna IFK Eskilstuna 4-1 HT 2-1 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS İSÇ4
23.10.2021 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Eskilstuna IFK Eskilstuna İSÇ4
13.06.2021 IFK Eskilstuna IFK Eskilstuna 2-0 HT 0-0 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Eskilstuna
3-2
AWAY Smedby AIS
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Eskilstuna vs Smedby AIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Eskilstuna edged past Smedby AIS 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Smedby AIS at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (71%) came in.

On the day, IFK Eskilstuna had 47% of the ball to Smedby AIS's 53%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Eskilstuna had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IFK Eskilstuna and 1.00 for Smedby AIS.

What was the final score of IFK Eskilstuna vs Smedby AIS?

IFK Eskilstuna 3-2 Smedby AIS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Eskilstuna vs Smedby AIS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smedby AIS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Eskilstuna 29%, draw 30%, Smedby AIS 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Smedby AIS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smedby AIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
14 Jun 2024
20:00 Savedalen vs Lindome GIF Analysis →
20:00 IFK Hassleholm vs Simrishamn Analysis →
20:00 Lidköpings FK vs BK Forward Analysis →
20:30 Kongahalla vs IFK Skövde Analysis →
20:30 Nacka Iliria vs Haninge Analysis →