Nacka Iliria 1-4 Haninge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Haninge EU Bookmakers 22%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/3.48
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacka Iliria
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Haninge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30.07.2023 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria 1-2 HT 1-1 Haninge Haninge İSÇ4
09.04.2023 Haninge Haninge 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Haninge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haninge cruised past Nacka Iliria 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nacka Iliria at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Haninge led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacka Iliria and 1.50 for Haninge.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Haninge?

Nacka Iliria 1-4 Haninge in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Haninge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 53%, draw 21%, Haninge 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacka Iliria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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