Newells Old Boys 0-2 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.41
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
14%
4.18
X/2
7%
7.03
X/X
20%
3.37
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
6.29
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.7pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.04/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.92
-25% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 66%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.2 Crosses 19.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.86 xG 2.33
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
521 Passes 140
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 3-1 HT 2-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
17.11.2005 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 5-0 HT 3-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
03.04.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 4-3 HT 3-2 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
24.09.2004 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 3-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
0-2
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
0.75 xG 1.14
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
313 Passes 183
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 21
38 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba beat Newells Old Boys 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; Instituto Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 61% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 39%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.75 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.75 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba?

Newells Old Boys 0-2 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 37%, draw 34%, Instituto Cordoba 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Newells Old Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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