CA Sarmiento 2-0 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Jun 2024

CA Sarmiento
2-0 HT 0-0
Estudiantes
📅14/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.44
Over 2.5
46%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.64
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.0
X/1
12%
7.46
X/2
12%
3.92
X/X
12%
3.43
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.85
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.2
Value flag · 2/X at 16.2 — our 10% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
66%
-11.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
34%
+11.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.7pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CA Sarmiento v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.04/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.93
-3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.3 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.76 xG 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
205 Passes 344
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 3-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
24.10.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.02.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
15.06.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
17.07.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-3 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
11.09.2016 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ

CA Sarmiento 2-0 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
2-0
AWAY Estudiantes
2.58 xG 0.80
24% Ball Possession 76%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
100 Passes 533
54% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento saw off Estudiantes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 24% of the ball to Estudiantes's 76%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.58 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.67 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes?

CA Sarmiento 2-0 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 31%, draw 27%, Estudiantes 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5
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