Isloch Minsk 1-0 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 14 Jun 2024

Isloch Minsk
1-0 HT 1-0
Gomel
📅14/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Isloch Minsk vs Gomel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
13%
15.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.74 — our 23% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Isloch Minsk v Gomel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.23/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.44
-3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1

Isloch Minsk vs Gomel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isloch Minsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gomel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Gomel Gomel 0-2 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
24.06.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
24.10.2022 Gomel Gomel 3-1 HT 1-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
25.06.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-1 HT 1-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
07.11.2021 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-2 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
19.06.2021 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 2-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR

Isloch Minsk 1-0 Gomel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Isloch Minsk
1-0
AWAY Gomel
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Isloch Minsk vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk edged past Gomel 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Isloch Minsk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Isloch Minsk had 41% of the ball to Gomel's 59%, shots finished 13-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Isloch Minsk and 1.50 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Isloch Minsk vs Gomel?

Isloch Minsk 1-0 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isloch Minsk vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Isloch Minsk 46%, draw 25%, Gomel 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isloch Minsk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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