Vitebsk 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 31.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 53%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.71/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.98
-37% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2022 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
17.06.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
02.08.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
03.04.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
28.11.2020 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-3 HT 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
28.06.2020 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino nicked a narrow win over Vitebsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torpedo Zhodino as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Vitebsk had 43% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 57%, shots finished 3-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vitebsk and 1.33 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Vitebsk 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 25%, draw 28%, Torpedo Zhodino 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
14 Jun 2024
18:00 Isloch Minsk vs Gomel Analysis →