Valmiera / BSS 6-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
77%
-20.4pp
23%
Draw
14%
+9.1pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 11%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.98/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.36
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -19%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
29.7 Crosses 11.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera / BSS
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.44 xG 0.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
368 Passes 193
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
01.10.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 3-2 HT 1-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
21.08.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LETK
07.07.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 6-0 HT 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
17.05.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
06.04.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 4-3 HT 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valmiera / BSS
6-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
3.52 xG 0.37
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
513 Passes 259
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS cruised past FK Tukums 2000 6-1. Half-time: 6-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 65% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 35%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 3.52 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 1.33 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs FK Tukums 2000?

Valmiera / BSS 6-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 57%, draw 23%, FK Tukums 2000 20%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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